A statistical model is autoregressive if it predicts future values based on past values. For example, an autoregressive model might seek to predict a stock’s future prices based on its past performance.

Deep autoregressive models are sequence models, yet feed-forward (i.e. not recurrent); generative models, yet supervised. They are a compelling alternative to RNNs for sequential data, and GANs for generation tasks.

Autoregressive Models in Deep Learning — A Brief Survey


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The Pitfalls of Next-Token Prediction

Anthropic Interpretability - Understanding how AI models think goes a bit into pitfalls of NTP